This pick was released to clients on January 01, 2020 at 10:58AM ET.
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Michigan vs. Alabama

January 1, 2020
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

CITRUS BOWL - Michigan has a potent and balanced offense behind QB Shea Patterson (22 TDs, 6 INTs), RBs Zach Charbonnet and Hassan Haskins, and WRs Nico Collins (681 yards) and Donovan Peoples-Jones. The offense averages over 400 yards and 33 points per game. And the defense ranks sixth in yards allowed, and #18 in points (19.5 pg). They are a dog to an Alabama squad that is used to playing for the national title. Instead, Nick Saban's team stumbled with two losses, quarterback injuries, and a young defense that was shredded by Auburn (48 points allowed) and LSU (46 points). Even Ole Miss hung 31 on them. Sophomore QB Mac Jones will make his third consecutive start after Tua Tagovailoa dislocated his right hip and is out. Alabama will also be without LB Terrell Lewis and CB Trevon Diggs, who both opted to sit out the game to prepare for the NFL Draft. College football favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a road loss to a conference rival are 5-25 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage between 60-80%. And Saban is 4-14 ATS after two straight games where 60+ total points were scored. Play Michigan.

1.5 units on Michigan +8.5 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Michigan Wolverines
10
6
0
0
16
Alabama Crimson Tide img
7
7
7
14
35
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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