Michigan at Penn State

A pair of outstanding Big 10 defenses clash here, and the weather in Happy Valley will only be happy for penguins: 48 degrees with light rain. Michigan is sixth in the nation defensively in yards and points (16 per game) allowed. The Wolverines come off a 28-7 win over Indiana and have allowed 7 points in two of their last three games. Penn State's defense is ninth in points (16.6 per game) allowed, and they are 7-2 UNDER the total this season. The offense has struggled to run, averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Penn State is 9-1 UNDER the total after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards the previous game. These teams played a 27-17 game last year, and this shapes up as a game with more defense than offense. Play the UNDER.