Michigan at Ohio State

Michigan is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games at Ohio State. But, let's look a bit deeper here. The seventh ranked Wolverines are undefeated in the Big Ten this year and will be looking to clinch the conference and a Rose Bowl bid and remain undefeated. This game is super important to them as a loss and a Wisconsin win would send Michigan to a lower bowl. The Buckeyes just aren't who they used to be and I don't think they'll stay with Michigan in this one. Road teams off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival are 64-30 ATS since 1992. I have a detailed matchup analysis of this game on my site, where you can see that Michigan has been all about ball control this year, eating up over 32 minutes per game this season. Meanwhile, Ohio State only controls the ball 27 minutes per game at home. We'll lean slightly towards the Wolverines for one star here, betting 55 to win 50 on Michigan minus the points.