This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 3:21PM ET.
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Michigan at Northwestern

October 29, 2005
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Anyone remember the magic of Darnell Autry and Steve Schnur years ago leading Northwestern to the Rose Bowl under then head coach Gary Barnett? Well, Randy Walker and his boys are rolling this season and sparking Rosy memories with only one Big Ten loss. That loss was a game they could have won against Penn State. Home teams off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points are 53-19 in conference games since 1992. Basenz is a legit quarterback who will spread UM's defense thin this weekend. Michigan is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog since 1992. When you can win three consecutive weeks against Wisconsin, Purdue and Michigan State, that's something. I think the Wildcats are for real, and sweep the state of Michigan in consecutive weeks, this time in front of a raucous home crowd. Michigan is off three very tough, very close confesrence games. It's hard for any team to stay up for another one after that. But even worse for the Wolverines, Michigan is 1-10 ATS off an upset win since 1992. And, it looks like Hart will not play this week. Northwestern for three stars.

3 units on Northwestern +3 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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