Michigan at Iowa

Once upon a time, the Michigan Wolverines were a 5-0 team getting national attention. But under the lofty record were signs that this team was not the caliber the record pointed to. They almost lost at home to lowly Akron, and went on the road to winless UConn and had to rally from a huge deficit to win. They have also lost three of their last five games, and the two wins were both adventures against teams they were supposed to beat. Iowa is quietly 6-4 on the season. They have a very good defense, holding five teams to 14 points or less, and the Michigan offense has suffered all season against a competent defense. Iowa is well under the radar and under appreciated - as most defensive teams are. They have quietly gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight, while having gone 5-1 ATS in their last six as a favorite. Michigan is just 14-31 ATS in their last 45 in the conference. Lay the points and ride with Iowa.