Michigan State vs. Baylor

The Michigan State Spartans have become a factor in the Big-10, and although they fell short this year, this is a very strong team on both sides of the ball. The Spartans have been a team that plays strong defensively, but this year they can play with anyone on the offensive end. Baylor thought they should be in the playoffs, so you have to question their motivation in this game. The Bears have put together a 40-11 straight up record the last four years, but a huge chunk of that has occurred at home where they are 25-1 straight up. The road has not been nearly as dominating, where they are just 9-9 straight up, and the offense drops of nearly 13 points per game home vs. road. Michigan State certainly has the offense to go toe-to-toe with the Bears, but also presents a better defense, and the Bears dropodff on the road makes them tough to get behind here. The Spartans on the otherhand are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games, and have the edge here. Make the play on Michigan State.