Michigan State at Wisconsin

Indianapolis will be the site for the inaugural Big-10 Championship featuring Michigan State vs. Wisconsin. The Spartans pulled off a miracle in their regular season matchup this year. Michigan State got a Hail Mary win on the last play of the game to steal the win 37-31. I think there is going to be payback in this one with the better team coming out on top. The defenses in this game are on the same level, but the Badgers’ offense is light years ahead of what Michigan State brings to the table. Wisconsin allowed 37 points to this offense in round one - the most they gave up all season. So, you can bet that they will come loaded for bear in this one to atone. This Badgers team allowed 17 points or less in 10 of their 12 games while topping the 40-point mark eight times. Michigan State is only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 as a dog from 3.5 to 10 points. Coach Dantonio has never won a game at Michigan State as a dog of +8 or more as he is 0-18 straight up, covering just 1/3 of them. Under Bret Bielema, the Badgers have been a team of momentum, going 15-6 ATS after a big win by 28 or more and 24-13 ATS after an ATS win. Wisconsin extracts revenge here with the win and cover.