Michigan State at Maryland

Maryland was 3-0 after beating up on Buffalo, Charlotte and SMU, but the Terrapins lost their first Big Ten game 34-27 to Michigan last week and QB Taulia Tagovailoa threw for 207 yards and a touchdown with two interceptions for Maryland, which yielded 243 yards on the ground to the Wolverines. Michigan State obviously misses star running back Kenneth Walker III, who went to the NFL and the Spartans have lost their past two games after defeating Western Michigan and Akron. Michigan State has won the last four meetings, including 40-21 in 2021 and six of the last seven meetings have gone UNDER. QB Payton Thorne finished 17 of 24 for 132 yards and no TDs against Minnesota on Saturday and obviously will have to improve on those stats and the much-maligned Spartan defense also needs to step up. However, Michigan State is 8-1-2 ATS its past 11 games after giving up at least 450 total yards its previous game and 9-3-1 ATS after losing by at least 20 points. The Terrapins have covered just one of their past six home games and they are 8-20 ATS their past 28 conference games. Also, the Spartans are 11-5 UNDER after scoring fewer than 20 points their previous game and Maryland is 9-4 UNDER after allowing 450 yards its previous game. This is a tough scheduling spot for Maryland after a tough loss at Michigan. Three plays on this game: Take Michigan State ATS and on the moneyline, and take the UNDER.