This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
img CFB

Michigan State at Iowa

September 30, 2023
img7:37 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The troubled Michigan State program got two wins to begin the season against Central Michigan and Richmond before running into some real competition and losing to Washington and Maryland. Now the Spartans have another opportunity to stay close as it travels to Iowa to face another conservative Kirk Ferentz-coached team that was shut out 31-0 by Penn State last week. That explains why the posted total is ridiculously low for this matchup even though the Spartans average 377.0 yards per game and Iowa yields 133.8 rushing yards. Cade McNamara was a paltry 5 of 14 for 42 yards against the Nittany Lions, who piled up 215 rushing yards and Drew Allar threw for 166 yards and four TDs with no interceptions for Penn State. All of which makes this too big a number for the Hawkeyes to cover and the defense appears to be overrated. Take Michigan State as my Game of the Month, and bet this game to go OVER.

2 units on Michigan State +12.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 36.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Michigan State Spartans
3
6
7
0
16
Iowa Hawkeyes img
3
7
3
13
26
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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