Michigan State at Indiana

This game represents the single-biggest lopsided affair this week from a betting perspective as over 71% of the public is on the Spartans. Despite that, the line has actually moved from 8.5 to 8! Michigan State is all about one player - Jevon Ringer, who is piling up the yards and has already scored 11 TDs. Meanwhile QB Brian Hoyer has just one TD pass and two INTs. It is no secret what Michigan State is going to do, but now the competition gets tougher and the yards may not come as freely. The Spartans started 4-0 last year but after Big-10 play began, they went just 3-5 and lost their Bowl game as well. Indiana will offer more resistance as they are ranked #33 in the country on defense, allowing just 3.14 ypc. This appears to be a stage for running the ball. The Hoosiers are doing a great job on the ground themselves as they have averaged 269 ypg, and that should help shorten the game. The Hoosiers can supply enough resistance to the State ground game, which makes 8 points becomes quite a lot to cover, especially on the road in the Big-10. I'll back what could be a barking dog in this one.