Michigan State at Indiana

Indiana came out of its shell to shock Oregon two weeks ago. They returned to earth last week, and we expect more of the same in their Big Ten opener. The Hoosiers are just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game since 1992. Indiana is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored since 1992. Indian's allowing 28.3 points per game. If Michigan State can put up this many vs. the Hoosier's they should cover. Since 1992, Michigan State is 44-14 ATS when scoring 28+ and Indiana is 4-14 over the last three seasons when allowing 28+. One unit on the Spartans.