Michigan State at Illinois

Michigan State has played three Top 13 teams over the last five contests. In between, they lost a close one at Michigan (24-17) and beat Iowa (32-20) as a +6.5 underdog. At 4-5, they have a shot at a winning season and a bowl. The Spartans are on a 6-3-3 ATS run on the road, which included a 23-15 win at Illinois as a +16 underdog. They're rested off of a bye week and against Iowa, the Spartans put their bye week to good use and earned a statement win. They face an Illinois squad that has lost two in a row to Oregon (38-9) and Minnesota (25-17), the latter in their last home game. After a strong start to the season, the Illini defense is allowing 29.6 points per game. Play Michigan State.