Miami Ohio at Temple

Miami Ohio started out the season with a nice upset win on the road at Ball State. Things looked good. Then they went on to lose three straight, allowing 41+ points in all three games. The defense looked bad and it looked like the wheels had come off. But, let's look at who they faced in those games: Minnesota, Cincinnati and Colorado! the Red Hawks can't keep up with those teams. But, they can play with the lower-level teams. Want proof? They have won their last three against lower-level competition (Syracuse, Kent State, Bowling Green). So against lower-level competition, this team is 4-0 SU and ATS including three outright underdog wins! In those four games, they have allowed no more than 14 points in any game. Temple started off the season with five straight losses but has won their last two, giving us live value here. The fact is, Miami Ohio is a much better team than Temple but the overall average stats mask this fact. Miami Ohio rolls here to a big win.