Miami Ohio at Northern Illinois

These two teams are pretty evenly matched which factors into this line with the home field. This was expected to be a rebuilding year for NIU, but they have played everyone tough. They covered the spread against both Northwestern and Michigan and handed Tennessee Tech a 42-3 whopping two weeks ago. After dropping a game last week to Akron that they were expected to win, we see them bouncing back against a Miami of Ohio squad off a big win. N Illinois is 17-4 ATS vs. mistake prone teams that are averaging 60+ penalty yards per game. Also, home teams off a game in which tthey gained 475 or more total yards facing an opponent off a game in which they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 117-66 (64%) since 1992. Northern Illinois is the better team here and last week's results are keeping this line lower than it should be. Take Northern Illinois minus the points for one star.