Miami Ohio at Northern Illinois

The Huskies rattled off nine straight wins to claim their place here in the MAC Championship. A defensive team displayed quite an offense in their last three games, putting up 195 points (61.7 per game). That has raised the bar in this game as just a couple of weeks ago at home they were posted as an 11.5 favorite over Toledo. Their offense will get challenged by a Redbird defense that has allowed just 47 points in their last four games (11.8 ppg). That included holding a Temple team that had scored a minimum of 23 points in their last five games to just a field goal and 215 total yards. Northern Illinois will get points here, but the number has risen to push the value over to Miami. The numbers look great for the Huskies, but they are just 2-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last five played at a neutral site. Miami covers the big number.