Miami Ohio at Kent State

Good home dawg play here with Kent State who is an improved football team. Meanwhile the Redskins, who showed some signs of falloff late last season, have really struggled thus far. Kent State has taken 4 of last 6 ATS in this matchup and home team is 4-1 ATS in the series. Kent brought back fourteen starters this season and fared well last weekend causing four turnovers in a 38-12 drubbing of SE Missouri State. Teams that closed out last season with 2 or more straight losses coming off a loss against a conference rival in the first month of the season are 19-52 (27%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Also, home underdogs off a win by 21 or more points against opponent that scored 37+ points are 56-23 (71%) over the last 10 seasons. This should be a close game and we like the home MAAC dog here plus the points for two stars. In conference games involving two poor rushing teams (both outrushed by opponents by 50+ YPG), the home team is 133-70 (66%) straight-up over the last 10 seasons. And, road teams off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival in the first month of the season are a horrible 7-26 straight-up since 1992. Those two factoids dictate a one-star money line play as well.