This pick was released to clients on August 23, 2012 at 5:11PM ET.
img CFB

Miami Florida at Virginia

November 13, 2004
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Larry Coker summed it up best last weekend when he stated that this is a precarious time for the Canes. None of these kids have ever really lost football games while in college. They have now been embarrassed twice in a row and it could have, and should have, been worse. There was little question as to who was the better team when Louisville visited Miami earlier this season. Now the Canes go into a very hostile environment to play a very good football team. This line should be closer to six but cannot be due to the public's love for the Canes. Bottom line is this Canes team has very little heart and may get run out of the building on Saturday. Brock Berlin is about as average of a college QB the Canes have seen since the days of Ryan Clement. Virginia is 43-23 ATS when they score 28 or more points since 1992 and 10-0 ATS in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons. The Cavs are also 13-3 ATS in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons, winning those game by an average of 18 points. Going with Groh's BOYZ here for three stars and an easy home romp of it. Bet 165 to win 150 on the Cavaliers. Also, check out a more detailed matchup analysis of this game on my site.

3 units on Virginia -3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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