Miami Florida at North Carolina

Folks, this line is inflated. North Carolina can hang in this game. The Heels will have QB Bryn Renner back in action after he missed the Virginia Tech game with a foot injury. Despite the 1-4 record, I expect North Carolina to be plenty excited for this opportunity to make their season, and it is happening before a national audience on Thursday Night. Miami hasn't been as clean coming into this one as their 5-0 record would have you believe. They have committed four turnovers in each of their last two games. Miami has lived on a lot of home cookin' as their only road game of the season was at disappointing South Florida, and this one won't be easy. The Heels have been excellent at defending home turf against good teams as they are 16-5 ATS here in their last 21 vs. a winning team here. The dog is also 8-1-1 ATS in the last ten in this series. This is a huge game for the Tar Heels and they've had two full weeks to prepare. Over 80% of the bets on this game are coming in on Miami but I think this one is closer than it may look. We are getting line value on the home dog. Take the points on North Carolina.