Miami Florida at Florida State

Miami is unbeaten, off a 31-6 win at Duke. QB Malik Rosier (eight TDs, two picks) has been sharp, while RBs Mark Walton (403 yards) and Travis Homer are both averaging over 8.2 yards per carry. The defense is loaded with speed, #17 in the nation in points allowed (17 points per game). The Hurricanes are 20-7 ATS after allowing fewer than 20 points the previous game, plus 20-8 ATS when following a straight-up win of more than 20 points. Miami ranks second nationally in tackles for loss, averaging nine a game, and is #10 in sacks averaging more than three a game and totaling 11. Florida State is home but has a losing record, still trying to regroup after the loss of starting QB Deondre Francois. Freshman QB James Blackman has been forced in. The Seminoles are #126 of 129 FBS teams in sacks allowed, four per game and 12 total. Making matters worse, starting left tackle Derrick Kelly sustained a leg injury in the first quarter of the Wake Forest game last week, plus they lost sophomore guards Cole Minshew and Landon Dickerson for stretches with undisclosed ailments. They failed to cover against Wake, as the offense had just 121 passing yards while the ground game averaged 3.5 yards per carry. The road team is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings and the Hurricanes hold all the cards in this state rivalry matchup. Play Miami.