Memphis at Temple

Memphis (4-10 ATS run) had a 3-0 start, but they weren't overwhelming, squeezing by Arkansas State (55-50) and Mississippi State (31-29). They failed to cover against Arkansas State while surrendering 680 yards (582 passing), then Mississippi State put up 468 yards (419 passing). Those teams combined to go 17-of-36 on third down. That poor defense caught up with Memphis last week, losing 31-28 at home to Texas-San Antonio as a favorite and blowing a 21-0 lead while allowing 399 yards (205 rushing). Memphis is 7-18-1 ATS on natural grass and 3-8 ATS as a favorite. Temple has won two of three and got great news last week when starting QB D'Wan Mathis returned from an injury after missing two straight. He threw for 292 yards and 2 TDs while showcasing good mobility. Temple has covered six in a row against the Tigers, including a 30-28 victory versus then-No. 23 Memphis when they last met on this field two years ago. With Temple 72-44 ATS versus defenses that allow 58% pass completions or more, back the home dog in this one. Play Temple.