Memphis at Houston

The Houston Cougars have a new coach, a new QB, and a new system this season. Memphis is out of the gate strong as they have put together a 5-1 record, and won at UConn two weeks ago where they put up 70 points. Well, UConn is one of the worst defenses in the country. Last week the Tigers managed to get to 30 points vs. Navy, but a lot of that was tainted as Navy coughed the ball up five times on turnovers, giving Memphis a lot of extra possessions. Last week Houston allowed 45 points to Tulsa, but were also victim of their own turnovers as they had three. There is hidden value here as Houston has only allowed significant points when they have outlier turnover games. This season they have had two games where they turned the ball over a total of eight times, but in the other four "normal turnover games" they have allowed 13.5 points per game. I think this total gets a bump from what has happened that isn't likely to be the case in any individual game for either team. Take the UNDER.