Massachusetts at Bowling Green

UMass joined the FBS a year ago as a member of the MAC Conference. They are 1-15 straight-up since doing so, beating only Akron who is 0-15 vs. FBS teams over the same time frame. The Minutemen have been a virtual punching bag for teams. Their offense is pretty much non-existent, scoring 7 points or less in half their games. This season they have produced 28 points in four games, at 7 points per game. Bowling Green has scored 30+ in four of their five games, while the defense is still very solid. I simply don't see UMass getting into the end zone here, and Bowling Green should score plenty, as the Minutemen are also allowing 32.5 ppg. The Falcons have been eating up losing teams at 19-7 ATS in their last 26 against them, and have a blowout on their hands in this one. And, Bowling Green is 10-2 ATS the past two seasons as a favorite. All Bowling Green in this one.