Massachusetts at Ball State

A pair of terrible offenses meet in this one. UMass has one victory and has scored 14, 23 and 10 points in three of its defeats. The defense isn't as bad as the stats suggest, giving up a ton of points to powerhouses Notre Dame, Toledo and Bowling Green (a pair of top 20 teams in there). They come off a blowout loss at home and the UNDER is 9-4 when the Minutemen are off a double-digit defeat at home. They face a Ball State team that has lost five in a row scoring 19, 10, 19 and 21 points in four of those contests. Ball State is on a 5-1 run UNDER the total, including 4-1 UNDER after a defeat. The weather at Ball State for Saturday should be terrible, cold and rainy with 10-20 MPH winds. Ball State is 6-1 UNDER the total when following a spread cover as well as 4-1 UNDER on fieldturf. All signs point towards UNDER in this one.