Maryland at Wisconsin

Maryland is 6-2 on the season and has been a very strong offensive team. A closer look shows that since conference play started those numbers are still good but not what they did prior to conference play. The Terps averaged over 40 PPG in their three games outside the conference but just 30.4 PPG in the conference. That is a 10-point swing. Wisconsin is generating just -0.3 yards per play on offense worse than Maryland, so factoring in the early season success the Maryland offense had, the numbers are very similar. Maryland has also not faced a strong running game, and the Badgers are generating 4.7 yards a carry, while the average of the Maryland opponents has averaged just 3.9. I think that is the biggest edge in this game. Make the play on Wisconsin.