Maryland vs. Virginia Tech

PINSTRIPE BOWL - This is a difficult matchup for Maryland, in the New York cold. Maryland's defense is ranked #94 in the country in total yards, surrendering 258.9 yards passing and 157.5 yards rushing per game. They rank #105 in points allowed (32.4 per game). Maryland is on a 2-8 spread run, 9-29 ATS following a victory, and 15-37 ATS after a spread cover. They're also 35-19 UNDER the total after scoring 37+ points in their last game. Virginia Tech has a much better defense at 39th in points surrendered (22.9 per game) and 52nd in pass defense and is facing a Terrapin offense that prefers to pass behind QB Taulia Tagovailoa. Virginia Tech has a powerful ground game that will have success against Maryland behind mobile QB Braxton Burmeister (14 TDs, four INTs) and RB Raheem Blackshear (714 yards, 5.9 yards per carry). Burmeister was second on the Hokies with 521 rushing yards. Running the football chews up yards and the clock, and Virginia Tech is 44-27 UNDER the total against offenses that average 425+ yards. The Hokies have rushed for over 200 yards in five of their last six contests, including 320 rushing yards in the last game against Virginia, winning 29-24 as a +7 dog. Virginia Tech's rushing attack was fourth in the ACC, averaging 189.8 yards. Virginia Tech is 22-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, and Maryland is 12-25 ATS with two or more weeks to prepare. Play Virginia Tech and UNDER the total.