Marshall at Cincinnati

This is perhaps the who cares bowl of them all. I'll reluctantly pick it but don't waste much of your time with this one. The only reason that either of these teams are in a bowl game at all is because the big conference teams were pretty weak this season (see Big 12 North). Cincy QB Gino Guidigli returns from his broken hand here and the Bearcats offense is thankful for that. They were a completely different unit against Louisville without him. Marshall has not won a big game since last season and really should not be in this game. Cincy is coming off a couple of bad games turnover-wise. Teams at +3 to -3 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 65-33 (66%) over the last 10 seasons.