LSU at Texas

The LSU Tigers return eight starters on a defense stocked with talent behind nose tackle Tyler Shelvin, Fiesta Bowl Defensive MVP Rashard Lawrence, and strong safety Grant Delpit (five sacks, five picks in 2018). This is their first road game and the Tigers are 8-3-2 UNDER the total when following a win of more than 20 points. They head to Texas, a team on a 49-24 run UNDER, including 13-6 UNDER at home. Texas has plenty of talent on defense, but the offensive line is replacing three starters. The Longhorns stepped up twice last September and held USC to 14 points and TCU to 16 - both at home. Texas is 35-16 UNDER the total against winning teams, 19-6-1 UNDER at home versus teams with a winning road record, plus 23-5 UNDER when following a spread cover. Play the UNDER.