LSU at Mississippi State

Mississippi State loves to run the football, grinding out yards as the clock moves, but they run into a ferocious LSU defensive line. The LSU Tigers have allowed just 10 points in two victories with junior tailback Derrius Guice off to a sizzling start out of the backfield. LSU's 2016 sack leader Arden Key will play after missing the first two games with a shoulder injury. Key had two sacks against Mississippi State last season as LSU notched a 23-20 win over the Bulldogs. LSU is on a 13-4-2 run UNDER the total with that great defense, including 15-5-1 UNDER in conference play. Seven starters return to a Mississippi State defense that has allowed a total of 21 points in two games. But the offense got shut down in last year's loss to LSU with 214 yards passing and 56 yards rushing on 1.8 yards per carry. Mississippi State is on an 11-5 run UNDER the total after a victory, as well as 11-5 UNDER after getting 40+ points the previous contest. Both teams are undefeated, so look for a monster defensive effort with more field goals than touchdowns. Play this one to stay UNDER the total.