Louisville at Washington

Louisville can run the football with RB Isaac Brown (1,074 yards, 7.3 ypc). However, QB Tyler Slough (23 TDs, 6 INTs) opted out of this bowl, so QB Harrison Bailey stepped in. He hasn't thrown a touchdown pass all season and has just 63 passing yards. He threw for only 51 yards last year. On defense, the Cardinal likes to blitz and run a deep rotation up front to keep fresh legs on the field. The defense has allowed 23 points in the last two games against Pitt and Kentucky. Washington's defense is excellent, allowing 24.6 points per game. They're 40th in the nation defensively in the red zone and on a 12-5 run UNDER the total. Take Louisville/Washington UNDER the total.