Louisville at Virginia

Louisville is 3-2 on the season, and this team may have tipped its hand as to what to expect from them going forward. They played three games vs. Notre Dame, SMU, and Georgia Tech, and allowed 28 PPG. Their other two games saw them allow 7 PPG. Virginia has done well defensively as well as the Cavs have not allowed more than 30 points to any of their five opponents on the season, and it has led to three of their four games vs FBS opponents to fall UNDER the total. I think Louisville is underrated defensively, as the better teams were able to put up points against them, but not anyone else. Make the play UNDER the total.