Louisville at South Florida

The Louisville Cardinals saw their chances to play for a National Championship virtually eliminated at home last week with their loss to Central Florida. As a result they may be a bit flat in this game vs. a weak South Florida team. Louisville has struggled in these types of games, at least offensively. The Cards produced just 24 vs. Rutgers, 27 vs. Kentucky, and 30 vs. a one-win Temple team. South Florida simply won't score much here, as the Bulls average less than 20 ppg against lesser defenses. On the season, Louisville has given up just 11.7 points per game. The Bulls have an 8-2 mark to the UNDER in their last 10 overall, and just one of their last eight vs. a team with a winning record has topped the total. They are also 11-2 to the UNDER the past three seasons as an underdog. Play the UNDER here.