Louisville at North Carolina

This is a high total here for inept Cardinals attack that could muster just 21 points vs. Div-1AA Murray State, 17 vs. Sun Belt Conference Florida International and a woeful 13 vs. Marshall. Those three were also all at home. They take to the road vs. a Tar Heels team that did allow 35 points to Georgia Tech, but keep in mind that the Yellow Jackets have averaged 56 points per game vs. everyone else, skewing the defensive numbers of a competent Tar Heels defensive unit. While the Louisville offense has struggled, the defense has kept them in games, allowing less than 17 ppg. The Cards are now well UNDER the total at 9-4-1 to the UNDER after a loss, while the Heels are playing UNDER to the tune of 7-1 in their last eight at home. Defense decides the outcome here so the UNDER is the play.