Louisville at Kentucky

Kentucky is 8-3 ATS and it has covered the spread in five of its last six games following a 50-7 blowout of FCS school Tennessee Martin on Saturday. It was a weird game as the Wildcats completed only two passes while racking up 462 yards rushing while holding the Skyhawks to minus-12 yards on the ground. Coach Mark Stoops obviously wanted to avoid embarrassing the Skyhawks too much and kept it on the ground although his team averages 252.7 rushing yards and that is good for #12 in the country. Kentucky had gone UNDER six games in a row before going OVER the last two games, but the Wildcats are allowing only 24.6 points on the season.  Lynn Bowden, who started the season as a wide receiver and due to injuries was forced into the QB spot, made his sixth consecutive start behind center and the Wildcats have won four of those games. Bowden rushed for 129 yards and two touchdowns against Tennessee Martin and Kentucky has rushed for 863 yards its last two games. Kentucky beat Louisville by 46 points last year and the Wildcats are 5-0 ATS their last five non-conference games and the Cardinals are 4-11-1 ATS their last 16 non-conference games and they are 9-4 UNDER their last 13 non-conference contests. Play Kentucky and UNDER.