Louisiana Tech vs. Navy

The Naval Academy lost to Army for the first time in 15 years, but they caught a bad break when their top RB and QB were lost to season-ending injuries in the AAC Championship game vs. Temple. The good news for Navy is that backup QB Zach Abey has had a lot more reps in practice to run the option, and it is the great equalizer when facing a better team. They have another good news situation as this game will be played in Fort Worth, TX as Navy does a lot of recruiting in Texas. Practices preceding a trip to Texas are very competitive as all the Texas kids (28 on the roster) try to get home, where many friends and families await. They have played some of their best football in Texas at 12-2 ATS in their last 14 - always a motivating place for them. Navy averaged 37.4 points per game on the season. LA Tech is a high-octane offense averaging 44 ppg on the season, but the problem lies in a defense that allows 32.7 ppg. Teams that average allowing 30 ppg or more, and playing as a Bowl favorite are just 15-24 ATS, while military Academies are 29-13 ATS in Bowl games. LA Tech is 9-1 to the OVER on the season with a total of 60 or more. Navy has seen their games average a combined total of over 67 points against a lot better defenses,and poorer offenses than they will see here in LA Tech. Play Navy and the OVER.