Kentucky at Mississippi State

Kentucky has only played two road games and scored 13 and 16 points. The Wildcats come off a bye week and their first loss, getting stuffed by Georgia, 30-13. Kentucky is 37-61 ATS after rushing for 100 or fewer yards, and now they head to Starkville where they've lost five in a row. Mississippi State is well-coached under Mike Leach, winning two of three, including a 26-22 upset over Texas A&M as a +7 dog. They also have a 24-10 win over NC State as an underdog, and last week they crushed Vanderbilt, 45-6. The pass-happy offense is tough to keep down as they are No. 4 in the nation with 374.7 yards per game and led by QB Will Rogers (18 TDs, 7 INTs). Leach is 36-20 ATS against teams that average 4.75 yards per rush, and the home team has covered seven straight when these rivals clash. Play Mississippi State.