Kentucky at Mississippi State

These teams are a combined 4-8 UNDER this season and Mississippi State has stayed UNDER three of its last four, including a 35-10 win over BYU last Saturday. The Bulldogs held the Cougars to only 176 total offense yards and just 29 rushing yards on 17 carries. MSU quarterback Nick Fitzgerald was 19 of 30 for 241 yards and two touchdowns, but also threw two picks. Kentucky is allowing 21.3 points per game compared to 19.7 for Mississippi State, which is #28 in the country giving up 284.8 yards per contest. Kentucky's average margin of victory is 7.6 points as it hasn't experienced a blowout game win or lose. The Wildcats do a good job controlling the ball and using up the clock as they average 32:15 of possession time per game. The last four meetings at Mississippi State have gone UNDER and the Bulldogs have stayed UNDER four of their last five after winning by at least 20 points dating to last season. Also, MSU is 13-5 UNDER after a win and 4-0 UNDER its last four home games. Play the UNDER.