This pick was released to clients on November 26, 2016 at 9:19AM ET.
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Kentucky at Louisville

November 26, 2016
img12:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a bubble-burst game for Louisville whose playoff hopes went down in flames when it lost 36-10 to Houston as a 17-point favorite. Heisman hopeful Lamar Jackson was 20-of-43 for 211 yards and a touchdown, but this game did nothing to help his chances. The Cardinals were outgained 362-312 and lost three fumbles. Louisville is just 2-5 ATS over its last seven games as it has struggled to cover big point spreads. Kentucky has won four of its last six games, including 49-13 against FCS Austin Peay on Saturday. Benny Snell ran for 152 yards and two touchdowns against the Governors as Kentucky played conservatively with quarterback Stephen Johnson completing just 5-of-9 passes for 101 yards. The Wildcats have gone UNDER in five of their last seven conference games and Louisville has stayed UNDER in four of its last six overall. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings and once again the Cardinals are forced to cover a big number, this time in a letdown situation. Take Kentucky and the UNDER.

1 unit on Kentucky +27.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 73 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kentucky Wildcats img
14
7
10
10
41
Louisville Cardinals
7
17
7
7
38
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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