Kentucky at Louisville

Kentucky is on a 1-5 SU/ATS slide. In their last three games against Top 25 opponents, the Wildcats lost 33-27, 51-13, and 49-21. Kentucky is 16-27 ATS in November games, plus 10-20 ATS off a road loss. Louisville has lost just one game this season and is 2-0 against Top 20 teams, winning 33-20 over No. 10 Notre Dame and 23-0 over No. 20 Duke. They're on a 10-2 spread run at home and have a defense that is 23rd in the country in points allowed (20.2 per game). Louisville is 27-13 ATS against winning teams and coach Jeff Brohm is 24-7 ATS versus opponents who average 4.75+ yards rushing per carry. Play Louisville.