Kentucky at Georgia

The Georgia Bulldogs went from the top rated team in the playoff race, to out of the top four with one bad loss last week vs. Auburn. They still have a path back as they must beat Kentucky this week, Georgia Tech in their season finale, and Alabama in the SEC Championship game. That would likely be enough to put them in the National Championship race. This is not an easy spot, however, as teams late in the season often have trouble getting up the same energy after their first loss of the season. Historically, a team that loses for the first time and are playing game 10 of the season or more are 45-67 ATS, covering just 40.2% of the time. They are also just 10-23 ATS to a line of -15 or more. Kentucky is having a strong season at 7-3, and will be primed to get a big win and should stay in the hunt to get the cover. Play the points on Kentucky.