Kentucky at Alabama

It is amazing what Nick Saban has done at Alabama. His Crimson Tide teams have gone 102-12 SU in their last 114 games. Kentucky has not come into Tuscaloosa since 2008, shortly after Saban's arrival, but his Tide teams have played twice at Kentucky scoring 38, and 48 points, with both games going OVER the total. Saban's teams have scored 42 points or more in 55% of their last 20 games as a home favorite, and their opponent has averaged 14 in those games. Kentucky has allowed 40+ in three of their four games this season. I would not be surprised to see the Tide score into the 50s. If that is indeed the case, the starters will be out for a considerable amount of the second half, and that is where Kentucky could find points easier to come by. Kentucky is now 15-3 to the OVER in their last 18 games when following a win vs. a conference rival, and Saban is 15-5 to the OVER in his 20 games when following a shutout as a coach. Make the play on the OVER.