Kansas State at Texas

Texas can play any style, but Kansas State is in town and Coach Bill Snyder loves a power running attack to control the clock along with a physical defense. Kansas State is #21 in the nation in yards allowed, #34 in pass defense and #15 in points allowed (15 points per game). K-State comes off a 33-20 win over Baylor that went UNDER the total and the team is 14-6 UNDER after accumulating 170 or fewer passing yards the previous contest. Texas has used three quarterbacks already because of injuries and starter Shane Buechele (foot) is expected to start but not 100%. Texas has allowed 34 total points the last three games, holding a strong Iowa State offense to seven points last week on the road. Texas is on a 35-16 run UNDER the total, including 35-17-1 UNDER in Big 12 play, plus 37-18-1 UNDER at home. They are also 21-6 UNDER against winning teams, so look for a fierce defensive battle. Take this one to finish UNDER.