This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
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Kansas State at Oklahoma State

October 6, 2023
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas State has played one other road game. They were favored at Missouri but lost 30-27. And it was a poor performance defensively surrendering 430 yards, including 356 passing, with a fourth-quarter collapse getting outscored 13-3. College football road teams that average 4.8+ yards per rush and gained 275+ rushing yards in the last game are 18-46 ATS versus a team with a run defense that allows 3.5 to 4.3 yards per carry. Oklahoma State is a big home dog but Coach Mike Gundy is 24-14 ATS off a road loss. The Cowboys have senior QB Alan Bowman and a strong running back in Ollie Gordon II (6.2 yards per carry). They'll be in a fighting mood after losing the Big 12 opener at Iowa State, 34-27, despite over 400 yards on offense. Bowman threw for 278 yards and a pair of touchdowns while Gordon II ran for 121 yards on 18 carries. Oklahoma State is 19-7 ATS at home after a game where they forced no turnovers, plus 20-8 ATS at home against teams with a winning percentage between 60 to 75%. They also have another chip on their shoulder after being embarrassed at K-State last year, 48-0. Play Oklahoma State.

1 unit on Oklahoma State +12 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas State Wildcats
0
7
8
6
21
Oklahoma State Cowboys img
10
10
6
3
29
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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