Kansas State at Louisville

The Wildcats have lit-up the scoreboard in their first two games, putting up 45 against North Texas and 69 against Montana State. But don't be fooled. Last year this team tallyed 34 gaianst San Jose State and 61 against Missouri State. But when they hit the road vs. BCS caliber teams, they went just 1-5 and allowed a shaky 39 points per game. That team from last year that allowed 39 per game has lost six starters, and the defensive line is being almost completely rebulit. Louisville's no show performance vs. Kentucky puts value into this line. These teams met one time in 2006 with Hunter Cantwell wasat QB for the Cardinals. Louisville won that game 24-6 on the road. Cantwell is considered one of the top QB's for the upcoming NFL draft. He had his worst game ever vs. Kentucky in week one, throwing three interceptions, and I feel a repeat is bad performance in a span of three weeks is unlikely. Louisville lost 27-2, but matched Kentucky yard for yard offensively, as they finished dead even. Expect Louisville and Cantwell to play well here at home. I also like the UNDER here. As stated above, Kansas State's 114 points came against cupcakes North Texas and Montana State. We expect a high-intensity game and a lower-scoring affair than most expect.