This pick was released to clients on October 26, 2023 at 8:56AM ET.
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Kansas at Oklahoma State

October 30, 2021
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

College football teams off of their first loss this late in the season are often shell-shocked for a while. We saw that with BYU starting 5-0, but they haven't looked the same since getting upset by Boise State, 26-16, losing 38-24 to Baylor, and a 21-19 win over Washington State, all while failing to cover three in a row. Oklahoma State is now in the same boat coming off its first loss, 24-21, to Iowa State. It was a tough one to swallow, getting stuffed on fourth-and-2 late in the game. A year ago, the Cowboys lost their first game in late October, as well, and the next two weeks struggled in a 20-18 win over Kansas State and a 41-13 loss to Oklahoma. Oklahoma State is now a huge favorite, but it's a super-conservative offense that is ranked #70 in points per game (26.2) and #83 in the nation in yards (passing yards and yards per play). Oklahoma State was a 32-point favorite in the opener, but it squeezed by Missouri State, 23-16, along with beating Tulsa, 28-23, as a double-digit favorite. The Cowboys' two biggest wins all season have been by 11 points. Kansas isn't quitting, coming off of a 35-23 loss to Oklahoma as a +38 dog. Also, college football dogs of 21.5 to 31 points are 41-15 ATS in October after four or more straight losses. Back Kansas.

1.5 units on Kansas +30.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas Jayhawks
0
0
3
0
3
Oklahoma State Cowboys img
17
21
7
10
55
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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