Kansas at Kansas State

Kansas got a stunning win last week against Texas as a +23 point dog at home, so they are in a let-down spot. The offense has let down all year on the road, scoring 7, 19, 7, 3 and 21 points. They lost those road games by 36, 36, 42, 53 and 27 points. The Jayhawks are on an 8-17 ATS run, 10-30-1 ATS on the road, including 7-23 ATS away against a team with a winning home record. Kansas ranks #111 in the nation in yards on offense and #118 in points scored (20.4). And the defense is awful at #117 in points allowed (37.6 per game), #110 in yards surrendered. Kansas State is 4-1 straight-up at home with one of the best coaches in the nation. It's Senior Day with the team off a 42-21 win as a dog at Baylor that saw Alex Barnes and Winston Dimel combine for six rushing touchdowns. K-State has totaled 582 yards rushing and 10 TDs on the ground in the last two games. The Wildcats are 44-21-1 ATS in Big 12 games, including 41-19 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record. K-State is very strong on defense, leading the Big 12 and ranking #13 nationally in rushing defense (110.8 yards per game), while also leading the league in total defense. The Jayhawks are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings, 1-9 ATS at Kansas State, and the favorite is 18-3 ATS when these rivals clash. Lay the points and take Kansas State.