Kansas at Baylor

Baylor has a talented QB in Robert Griffin. Last year he earned the Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year and the press has followed. Whenever a player gets ink the lines often follow. The Bears may be a better team than a year ago, but this number is a quantum leap as they were an underdog in every Big-12 game a year ago. The Bears have only been posted as a favorite six times since 1999 in Big-12 play, and never by as many as 9 points, so this one is puzzling to me. The Jayhawks lost a lot from last year's team, especially Todd Reesing. But he has been capably replaced by Jordan Webb who has managed games quite well, throwing for 625 yards five TDs with just one INT. The Jayhawks own a win vs. Georgia Tech, so they certainly belong on the field vs. Baylor. The Jayhawks have built on solid performances, having gone 15-4 ATS after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. They have also fared well vs. Baylor having gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Turner Gill is 13-4 ATS in road conference games. My computer matchup for this game indicates that this number is too big, and I agree.