Iowa State at Toledo

Toledo has started the season 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS while Iowa State is coming off a huge upset win over Iowa. Perfect time to go contrarian here and back what most consider to be a bad Toledo team. Iowa State, prior to the fluke win over Iowa, was 0-2 having lost to Kent State and N. Iowa. They were favored vs. Kent and the N. Iowa game wasn't even lined. Don't overreact to one week. The fact remains that Iowa State brought back just four starters on offense and are lead by a new head coach. This is the first road game for this young offense and new coach and the hostile environment of the Glass Bowl will be a big change from the last three games - all at home. ISU is just 4-21 ATS in their last 25 artificial turf games. Toledo is 30-5 straight-up under head coach Tom Amstutz here at home. Take Toledo plus the points!