Iowa State at TCU

I'm not sure if there is a number that could hold this game. TCU has taken over the #3 spot in the Final Four, and will bring everything they have here in their home finale to ensure that doesn't change downward. Iowa State has had a brutal year as they have lost five straight, and have failed to cover the last four. They have allowed 30 points or more in all but one game this season. In their eight conference games, the Cyclones have given up 41.2 per game. The way the Horned Frogs are clicking offensively, having scored 30+ in every game and 40+ in seven games, they are going to go off here and leave no margin for error and lose their opportunity. Iowa State is now 0-7 ATS after allowing more than 280 passing yards in their previous game, while the Frogs are 8-0 ATS in their last eight on grass. While this total is set high, the Frogs are 9-2 OVER under head coach Gary Patterson when the total is set at 63 or more. They are also 11-3 OVER under Patterson when facing terrible defensive teams like Iowa State (teams allowing 450+ yards per game). Lay the points on TCU as this one could get ugly fast and take the OVER.