Iowa State at Colorado

Colorado has been a mess the last two weeks, killing themselves in both games. They will rebound here at home against the worst team in the Big 12. James Cox gets the start at QB for the Buffaloes. The youngster looked great against the Cowboys last week, and should pick apart the Cyclones in this one. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are being outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are just 8-25 over the last 5 seasons. Also, road dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after being outgained by 125 or more total yds 2 consecutive games fail to cover the spread about 70% o the time in their next game. The Cyclones are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Bet 110 to win 100 on this one with Colorado -10 points.