This pick was released to clients on October 12, 2023 at 10:06AM ET.
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Iowa at Wisconsin

October 14, 2023
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A battle for first place in the Big 10 West. They're the only two teams in the Big 10 West with winning conference records. Iowa is a big underdog but has one of the best defenses in the country ranked 25th in yards allowed (324.5 per game) and 14th in points given up (16.3 per game). The Hawkeyes are 13-4 ATS after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards in the last game, plus 18-7 ATS on the road game when the total is 42 or less. They're also 25-12 ATS away from home after back-to-back games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. Wisconsin's defense is 37th in yards surrendered while QB Tanner Mordecai has 3 TDs and 3 interceptions. They were a 13-point favorite in the last game but failed to cover in a 24-13 win over Rutgers. The Badgers are on a 7-10 spread run and lost to Iowa a year ago, 24-10, getting just 227 total yards while turning it over 3 times. With Iowa 31-11 ATS against teams averaging 5.25+ yards per rush, back the visitors. Play Iowa.

1 unit on Iowa +10 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Iowa Hawkeyes img
0
7
0
8
15
Wisconsin Badgers
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0
6
0
6
consensus consensus
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